I enjoyed the write-up - although I do think that the volatility of correlation practically suggests that there is no correlation. Generally, good teams tend to win basketball games - but the extenuating circumstances around preseason games suggests that they don't have any specifically real correlation with team success besides "this team has more talent than this team".
Generally agree! The whole point was kind of the fact that there’s really no correlation outside of chance (and even then you’d have to be really into the odds to take it seriously) — though I do think there is something to being an elite preseason team and not being bottom of the barrel during regular season, if only just because it sounds good😅
I enjoyed the write-up - although I do think that the volatility of correlation practically suggests that there is no correlation. Generally, good teams tend to win basketball games - but the extenuating circumstances around preseason games suggests that they don't have any specifically real correlation with team success besides "this team has more talent than this team".
Generally agree! The whole point was kind of the fact that there’s really no correlation outside of chance (and even then you’d have to be really into the odds to take it seriously) — though I do think there is something to being an elite preseason team and not being bottom of the barrel during regular season, if only just because it sounds good😅